The RAM Shortage Just Hit Your Wallet and Micron Says It Won't End Before 2028
I've been holding off on a PC upgrade for months, telling myself RAM prices would come back down. This week I finally accepted the truth: they're not. Not this year, not next year, and according to the CEO of one of the three biggest memory makers on the planet, maybe not even in 2028.
What Micron Actually Said
Micron's CEO Sanjay Mehrotra didn't sugarcoat it. He said the company has no line of sight to when supply and demand will come back into balance, and that 2027 and 2028 will be tighter than 2026. That's not a "short-term blip" statement. That's a "get comfortable" statement.
Even more telling: about 75% of Micron's 2027 output is already locked up in customer contracts. When three quarters of next year's chips are spoken for before this year is over, there isn't much left for the rest of us.
Why AI Is Eating Your RAM
The short version: AI data centers want High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), and HBM eats a lot of wafer capacity. Industry estimates say HBM's share of DRAM capacity will climb from about 20% today to nearly 30% in 2027. Every wafer that goes to an Nvidia accelerator is a wafer that doesn't become laptop RAM or phone memory.
And memory makers love it. HBM sells at huge margins, so they have every reason to keep prioritizing it.
Where You're Already Paying More
- Raspberry Pi: The 2GB Pi 4 that launched at $35 now costs $67.50 after another $12.50 increase.
- Samsung Galaxy S26: Most models went up roughly $100 compared to what buyers expected.
- PC RAM kits: Consumer DDR5 kits have jumped by around $200 in some configurations compared to a year ago.
And this is before the holiday season, when demand usually spikes.
New Factories Won't Save Us Soon
You'd think the fix is simple: build more fabs. Everybody is. Micron has new DRAM plants in Idaho and Taiwan coming mid-2027, with more Idaho and Singapore capacity in late 2028. In Korea, Samsung has about 10 new facilities planned and SK Hynix about 7, and 13 of those 17 fabs have already broken ground.
The problem is timing. A memory fab takes years to build and ramp, and most of that real output lands around 2028. Until then, the industry is squeezing extra capacity out of existing lines by upgrading processes. That helps, but it's not enough.
What I'd Do If You Need Hardware
- Buy what you need now, not later. If your laptop or PC is dying, waiting probably costs you more, not less.
- Prioritize RAM at purchase. Upgrading memory later will likely be the expensive path. Get 32GB up front if you can.
- Watch for bundled deals. Prebuilt PCs and laptops sometimes hide memory cost increases better than standalone RAM kits.
- Don't panic-buy phones. Phone makers absorb some of the hit. Buy on your normal cycle.
My Take
The AI boom has a cost, and it's starting to show up on receipts. For the next two years, memory is going to be one of those quiet line items that makes everything from Raspberry Pis to flagship phones a little more expensive. I'm done waiting. I'm buying my RAM this month.
What's your experience? Drop a comment below! 👇 Have you noticed higher prices on RAM, phones, or laptops this year, and are you buying now or holding out?
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